Kolom Keuangan

Kolom Keuangan ini menawarkan analisis mengenai beberapa topik yang terkait dengan pasar keuangan Indonesia. Secara keseluruhan, kolom-kolom ini - yang mempunyai isi yang berbobot - akan melukis gambaran yang jelas dan terperinci mengenai struktur dan kinerja pasar keuangan Indonesia.

Foreign Debt of Indonesia Grew 10.7% y/y in October 2014

External debt of Indonesia grew at a pace of 10.7 percent year-on-year (y/y) in October 2014, slightly slower than the 11.2 percentage point (y/y) growth pace in the previous month, according to a statement of Indonesia’s central bank (Bank Indonesia). Total outstanding external debt of Indonesia reached USD $294.5 billion in October (from USD $292.3 billion in the previous month). While growth of public sector external debt slowed in October, private sector external debt accelerated.

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Indonesia’s Rupiah at 6-Year Low; Expected to Weaken until Mid-2015

Amid weakening emerging Asian currencies, Indonesia’s rupiah exchange rate touched a six-year low on Friday (12/12) after US consumer spending rose in November while US jobless claims fell (signalling a strong recovery in the world’s largest economy). Based on the Bloomberg Dollar Index, the rupiah depreciated 0.95 percent to IDR 12,467 per US dollar on Friday. Besides the impact of the US dollar’s bullish momentum, the rupiah also weakened on year-end US dollar demand from local companies for debt payments.

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Indonesia’s Rupiah at 6-Year Low; Expected to Weaken until Mid-2015

Indonesian Rupiah Exchange Rate Rebounds from Six-Year Low

Contrary to the previous trading day, most emerging Asian currencies strengthened against the US dollar on Tuesday (09/12) supported by the yen’s advance as falling oil prices dented risk appetite. Based on the Bloomberg Dollar Index, Indonesia’s rupiah appreciated 0.47 percent to IDR 12,331 per US dollar today. Despite local firms’ increased US dollar demand to settle debt before the year-end, market participants were happy to learn that Indonesia’s central bank is active in the foreign exchange market to guard the currency.

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Indonesian Rupiah Exchange Rate Rebounds from Six-Year Low

Bank Indonesia about Inflation and the Current Account Deficit

The central bank of Indonesia expects that Indonesia’s current account deficit will decline to below the three percent of gross domestic product (GDP) mark by the end of this year supported by sharply falling global oil prices and Indonesia’s recent subsidized fuel price hike. Hendar, Deputy Governor of the central bank, said that for every USD $1 decline in global oil prices, the country’s current account deficit narrows by about USD $170 million. Indonesia’s current account deficit fell to 3.1 percent of GDP in Q3-2014 (from 4.06 percent of GDP in Q2-2014).

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Bank Indonesia about Inflation and the Current Account Deficit