Cement sales in Indonesia rose 6.6 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 15.7 million tons in the first quarter of 2018. While the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) initially expected cement consumption to be flat in March, consumption actually rose 3.4 percent (y/y) to 5.21 million tons in the third month of the year, hence pushing the overall Q1 figure to 15.7 million tons. A country's cement sales are a good indicator to measure its property and infrastructure development.

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Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia rose 5.2 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 4.79 million tons in February 2018, supported by significantly rising cement demand on the islands of Sumatra and Kalimantan. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesia Cement Association (ASI), said most provinces on Sumatra showed rising appetite for cement last month with the exception of West Sumatra and Bengkulu.

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Demand for cement in Indonesia is rising ahead of the year-end. Growing cement demand is attributed to the speeding up of construction of several national strategic infrastructure projects. Widodo Santoso, General Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said cement consumption in Indonesia rose 12.5 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 6.76 million tons in October 2017.

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Over the past two years the cement oversupply in Indonesia has become increasingly excessive. Indonesia's total annual installed cement production capacity has now risen to 106.3 million tons, while domestic demand may not exceed 65 million tons in 2017. Moreover, production capacity will rise further this year as Semen Indonesia will open two new plants later this year.

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Indonesian cement producers urge the government to protect the nation's existing cement manufacturers that have invested heavily in expanding production capacity in recent years but are plagued by the combination of weak domestic cement consumption and Indonesia's rising overall cement production capacity. Both factors are the reason behind the oversupply of cement in Southeast Asia's largest economy.

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The Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) has high hopes for Indonesia's cement exports this year. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the ASI, said he wants the nation's exports grow to the range of 2 - 3 million tons in 2017, up from 1.5 million tons in the preceding year (implying nearly 100 percent year-on-year growth). By the year 2019 the association targets to see 5 million tons of cement exports shipped abroad from Indonesia.

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Cement sales in Indonesia rose 0.2 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 4.54 million tons in February 2017 from 4.54 million tons in the same month one year earlier. This growth pace is considerably below market participants' targets. Weak cement sales in the second month of 2017 are blamed on weather conditions (the high amount of rainfall that caused floods in several parts of Indonesia) and on the fact that direct investment (in infrastructure and property) outside Java remains bleak.

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Cement consumption in Indonesia fell to 5.27 million tons in January 2017, down 2.3 percent year-on-year (y/y) from the same month one year ago. This decline was blamed on the intense rainfall in the nation's regions that managed to obstruct progress with various projects. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said the decline in cement demand was seen in nearly all regions, including Sumatra, Java, Kalimantan, and Nusa Tenggara.

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Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia in full-year 2016 stood at 62 million tons, rather stagnant from cement demand in the preceding year and thus the 65 million tons cement sales target of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) in 2016 was not achieved. ASI Chairman Widodo Santoso confirmed that Indonesian cement consumption was not in line with his institution's prediction. Moreover, weak cement sales also indicate that government-led infrastructure development has not been running smoothly yet.

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Cement consumption in Indonesia is expected to rise around 8 percent (y/y) to 68 million tons in 2017 from an estimated 63 million tons this year. This optimistic projection was expressed by Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesia Cement Association (ASI). Government-led infrastructure projects are believed to be the main pillar of support for next year's rising cement consumption in Southeast Asia's largest economy, particularly the one million houses program as well as other strategic projects.

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According to data from the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), domestic cement sales have fallen 5.8 percent to 3.3 million tons in August 2013 (from the same month last year). Being an important indicator of economic expansion (as cement sales inform about the development of property and infrastructure projects in the country), these lower cement sales confirm the slowing pace of economic growth in Indonesia. Compared to July 2013, cement sales in Indonesia fell by a massive 32 percent.

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