Indonesia's consumer price index is expected to rise in January 2017 amid higher food prices and higher government administered prices. Indonesian inflation in the first month of 2017 is estimated in the range of 0.60 - 0.70 percent month-on-month (m/m). Accelerating inflation in Southeast Asia's largest economy would imply that Indonesia's central bank (Bank Indonesia) has limited room to ease its monetary policy (by cutting the benchmark interest rate).

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Leading global information and measurement company Nielsen expects the market value of Indonesia's consumer products to rise 10 percent year-on-year (y/y) in 2017 supported by expansion of the nation's retail industry and improving macro economic conditions. Yongky Susilo, Executive Director at Nielsen Indonesia, sees accelerating economic growth (hence boosting people's purchasing power) and relatively low inflation (3.02 percent y/y in December 2016) as the right context for rising consumer spending in Southeast Asia's largest economy.

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The government of Indonesia appointed state-owned energy company Pertamina to operate eight oil & gas blocks after contracts with existing operators expire in 2018. Indonesia's new gross profit sharing scheme, which replaced the nation's cost recovery scheme, will be applied to the new contracts in 2018. Under the gross profit sharing scheme the Indonesian government and contractors agree up front on the proportion for splitting gross profit from oil and gas exploration (implying that all exploration and production costs are now borne by the operator).

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Shares in Asia (as well as US stock futures) are trading lower, while the US dollar is sliding on Monday (30/01) after US President Donald Trump announced to curb immigration into the USA. This move sparked wide criticism at home and abroad, while giving rise to uncertainty about future (unpredictable) US political and economic policies. Since Friday (27/01) refugees from seven predominantly Muslim countries - Iran, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen - are banned (for 90 days) from entering the USA.

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