Indonesia's inflation was recorded at 0.22 percent month-on-month (m/m) in July 2017. On Tuesday morning (01/08) Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS) said July inflation was attributed to rising prices in most expenditure group indices, but particularly foodstuffs (+0.21 percent), processed food, beverages, cigarettes and tobacco (+0.57 percent), housing, water, electricity, gas and fuel (+0.06 percent), clothing (+0.06 percent), health (+0.15 percent), and education, recreation and sports (+0.62 percent).

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Indonesia's inflation rate in June 2017 was higher than previously estimated. The nation's Statistics Agency (BPS) announced on Monday morning (03/07) that monthly inflation was recorded at 0.69 percent last month, while estimates ranged between 0.50 - 0.60 percent (m/m). Traditionally, Indonesian inflation tends to be high in June as people's consumption rises amid the Ramadan and Idul Fitri festivities.

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Inflation is expected to have remained high in Indonesia in June 2017 amid the Ramadan and Idul Fitri celebrations, a period when increased consumption (especially consumption of food products) always triggers inflationary pressures in Southeast Asia's largest economy. Monthly inflation is estimated to reach around 0.50 percent in June. On Monday (03/07) Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS) will release the nation's official inflation figures.

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Indonesia's 10-year government bond yields are currently around 6.89 percent, or the highest among Asian nations. On the one hand, this makes Indonesian bonds attractive to investors but on the other hand it becomes more costly for the government. How come Indonesian bond yields remain high?

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The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) expects Indonesia's inflation rate to rise to 4.36 percent year-on-year (y/y) by the end of 2017, a significant jump compared to the 3.02 percent (y/y) inflation rate in 2016 but still within the initial target range of Bank Indonesia (that is set at a wide range of 3 - 5 percent y/y). According to the latest data from Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS), Indonesia's annual inflation rate rose to 4.33 percent (y/y) in May, up from 4.17 percent (y/y) in the preceding month.

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Inflation continued to rise in Indonesia in May 2017 but at a slower pace than expected. According to the latest data from Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS), the annual inflation rate rose to 4.33 percent (y/y) in May, up from 4.17 percent (y/y) in the preceding month. The May inflation figure is the highest in 14 months. On a monthly basis Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.39 percent (m/m) in May 2017.

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The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) expects the nation's May 2017 inflation rate to be relatively high at 0.37 percent month-on-month (m/m) due to rising food prices and transportation tariffs ahead of the start of the holy Ramadan month (the Islamic fasting month). A Bank Indonesia survey shows inflation had climbed 0.27 percent in the first three weeks of May. As the Ramadan has started in the fourth week, inflationary pressures should rise sharper in these last couple of days of the month.

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Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS) announced the nation's April 2017 inflation figure was recorded at 0.09 percent month-on-month (m/m), a relatively high inflation figure for Southeast Asia's largest economy considering the month of April usually brings deflation to Indonesia due to the peak of the harvest season (which causes sliding food prices).

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Indonesia's inflation rate eased more than analysts had forecast in March 2017. Based on the latest data from Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS), Indonesian inflation fell to an annual rate of 3.61 percent (y/y) on the back of a monthly deflation rate of 0.02 percent in March 2017. The outcome also surprised Indonesia's central bank (Bank Indonesia). Up to the third week of March a Bank Indonesia survey showed inflation reached 0.05 percent.

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The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) expects Indonesia's headline inflation to ease in March 2017 as food prices are under control and can therefore offset the inflationary pressures that are caused by administered price adjustments (higher electricity tariffs). In February 2017 Indonesia's inflation rate accelerated to 3.81 percent (y/y) due to the ongoing impact of the higher electricity tariffs that were introduced by the government in January as well as a number of big floods that curtailed distribution channels across parts of Sumatra and Java.

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While we saw the highest monthly inflation rate (of the year) in December 2023, it was lower than we had projected. The latest data published by Indonesia’s Statistical Office (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) show that headline inflation reached 0.41 percent month-on-month (m/m) in December 2023.

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As expected, the central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) decided to impose a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate hike after concluding its two-day monetary policy meeting on 16-17 November 2022.

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For me, G20 summits were always interesting occasions as the leaders of the world’s strongest economies gather to discuss plans to move forward. This year, however, it was the first time that I was quite reluctant to follow the summit (despite the 2022 edition being organized on the Indonesian island of Bali).

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As usual, we devote our first article to the Indonesian economy. But before we zoom in on the latest macroeconomic data of Indonesia, we first provide some context by discussing the global economy.

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Before turning our attention to the economy of Indonesia, it is important to take a closer look at the global economy first. Fortunately, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) just released a new update (called the OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report September 2022) and so it’s certainly worthwhile to take a look at its conclusions.

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In the second half of September 2022 the Indonesian rupiah experienced some steep depreciating pressures, nearly touching IDR 15,300 per US dollar. It prompted Bank Indonesia to step and intervene in markets to limit the currency’s decline; a step that typically leads to a drop in the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

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Indonesia’s central bank (Bank Indonesia) – finally – decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75 percent after concluding its two-day policy meeting on 23 August 2022, thereby joining the global wave of rate hikes as central banks need to combat accelerated inflation, while –especially in emerging markets – higher rates also function to prevent too much capital outflows as US assets become more attractive amid aggressive US Federal Reserve tightening.

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What came as a surprise to us is that the Asian Development Bank (ADB) decided to raise its projection for Indonesia’s economic growth in full 2022 from 5.0 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 5.2 percent (y/y) in July 2022. This decision was substantiated in its Asian Development Outlook 2022 Supplement entitled Recovery Faces Diverse Challenges.

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We were surprised to learn that Indonesia’s central bank (Bank Indonesia) decided to leave its interest rates unchanged at the two-day monetary policy meeting on 23-24 May 2022. The benchmark BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate was kept at 3.50 percent, while the deposit facility and lending facility rates were maintained at 2.75 percent and 4.25 percent, respectively. We had expected Bank Indonesia to raise its key rate by 0.25 percent to 3.75 percent at this occasion.

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With the Ramadan month just having started, it is important to take a look at food prices in Indonesia. The Ramadan-Idul Fitri period is typically a period when prices rise amid a significant increase in demand.

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