Although advanced markets have already been enjoying 4G technology (short for fourth generation) for a couple of years, Indonesia is still in the middle of developing and expanding its 4G network across the archipelago. This context implies that Indonesia's telecommunication tower providers have ample opportunity for growth, supported by rising smartphone penetration. Within the next five years, the smartphone penetration rate of Indonesia is estimated to grow from 37 percent to 50 percent.

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The e-commerce industry of Indonesia is expected to grow sharply in 2016 on the back of the continued expansion of Internet and smartphone penetration. The Indonesian E-Commerce Association (idEA) estimates that the number of Indonesian online shoppers will hit 10 million in 2016. As such, earnings in Indonesia's e-commerce industry is estimated to more than double to IDR 20 million (approx. USD $1.5 billion) next year from an estimated IDR 9 trillion in 2015.

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The number of smartphone users in Indonesia is expected to grow by an average of 33 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2013 and 2017 according to research conducted by Nielsen Informate Mobile Insights. The number of smartphone users in Indonesia is expected to grow from an estimated 52 million to 87 million in 2017. This growth is primarily supported by Indonesians under the age of 30 years. It is estimated that 61 percent of the total number of Indonesian smartphone users are below 30 years. On average, Indonesian users spend 129 minutes per day on their smartphones.

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Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, the multinational electronics company headquartered in Suwon (South Korea), said that it plans to establish a factory in Indonesia to produce mobile phones for Indonesia’s domestic market. Samsung Electronics, subsidiary of the Samsung Group (a leading global information technology company), wants to set up the factory in West Java and production is expected to start later this year. Samsung Electronics already owns factories in China and Vietnam.

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Three Indonesian telecommunication and network providers are considered to have great room for improving their corporate earnings in the second half of 2017. These companies are Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Indosat Ooredoo, and XL Axiata. Reason why these companies should experience a good performance in H2-2017 is Indonesia's "data consumption trend".

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The number of smartphone users in Indonesia is rising rapidly in line with growing per capita GDP and widening Internet penetration across the Archipelago. Based on data from research institute eMarketer there were 69.4 million smartphone users in Indonesia at the end of 2016. Moreover, the number of Indonesian smartphone users is expected to grow to 103 million by 2018, which would make Indonesia the fourth-largest smartphone market worldwide after China, India and the United States.

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Local and foreign smartphone vendors are eager to assemble 4 Generation long term evolution (4G LTE) smartphones in Indonesia. No less than 26 companies (and brand owners) have established assembly plants in Southeast Asia's largest economy with a combined investment value of USD $600 million since 2015. Of these 26 companies, 14 are local players. The number of foreign smartphone manufacturers in Indonesia is expected to grow as a new government regulation comes into force per 1 January 2017.

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Mulai dari Januari 2017, para manufaktur smartphone 4G di Indonesia akan diwajibkan untuk menggunakan minimal 30% komponen lokal untuk pembuatan smartphone yang dijual secara domestik dan setidaknya 40% untuk pembangunan menara base transceiver stations (BTS). Pada awal tahun ini Pemerintah Indonesia telah menerbitkan draft peraturan mengenai hal ini dan minggu lalu draft tersebut telah ditandatangani oleh Menteri Informasi dan Komunikasi, Menteri Perdagangan, dan Menteri Perindustrian. Apakah dampak dari peraturan baru ini terhadap industri smartphone Indonesia?

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The government of Indonesia targets to see 35 million domestically-produced mobile phones (per year) starting from 2017. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s wireless network is to be upgraded to 4G speeds by the same year (a 4G network is the new necessity for those with smartphones or tablets) although currently the country’s telecommunication operators are still in the middle of building receivers to boost 3G utilization. The government hopes to see a total of USD $4.5 billion investment in the telematics sector.

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The recently unveiled Indonesian regulation that forces the country’s 4G smartphone and tablet manufacturers to use at least 40 percent locally-produced components in their cell-phone devices is a source of concern for tech companies such as Apple and Samsung that are eager to expand into Indonesia where smartphone penetration is still low. Moreover, the restriction may encourage smartphone smuggling in Southeast Asia’s largest economy. The new regulation will come into effect on 1 January 2017.

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