While car sales are showing a rebound in Indonesia, motorcycle sales continue to decline. Based on the latest data from the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI), motorcycle sales in Southeast Asia's largest economy fell 15.9 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 473,896 units in March 2017 from 563,341 units in the same month one year earlier. AISI Chairman Sigit Kumala says Indonesian consumers continue to postpone the purchase of a motorcycle amid weak consumer purchasing power.

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Indonesia's domestic motorcycle sales rose 13.8 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 473,879 units in January 2017, from 416,263 units in the same month one year earlier. This growth is attributed to Indonesians' improving purchasing power supported by recovering commodity prices, particularly coal and crude palm oil (CPO). Gunadi Sindhuwinata, General Chairman of the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI), is optimistic that Indonesia's motorcycle sales will rebound in 2017 - after two years of slowdown - on the back of accelerating economic growth and rising commodity prices.

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Indonesia has the biggest motorcycle market within the ASEAN region. It is estimated that Indonesia accounts for 70 percent of total motorcycle sales in ASEAN. This implies that the slowdown in Indonesia's motorcycle sales has a big impact on overall sales in the region. Based on data from the ASEAN Automotive Federation (AAF), total motorcycle sales in ASEAN in the first ten months of 2016 fell 1.2 percent to 7.91 million from sales in the same period one year earlier.

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The Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI) expects Indonesia's motorcycle sales to rebound in 2017. Based on the latest estimates, sales of two-wheelers will rise 10 percent (y/y) to 6.6 million next year from an estimated 6 million vehicles in 2016. This year sales are expected to drop slightly over 7 percent (y/y) compared to 6.48 million sold motorcycles in 2015. AISI Chairman Gunadi Sindhuwinata said there are several reasons that should cause rebounding motorcycle sales next year.

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Indonesia's motorcycle sales fell 10 percent (y/y) to 4.35 million in the first three quarters of 2016 from 4.82 million motorcycle units in the same period one year earlier. Meanwhile, in the month September 2016 a total of 555,820 motorcycles were sold in Indonesia, down 8 percent (y/y) from sales in the same month one year earlier. Gunadi Sindhuwinata, Chairman of the Indonesian Motorcycle Manufacturers Association (AISI), informed that Indonesia's motorcycle sales have still not returned to normal levels in 2016.

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The Transportation Ministry of Indonesia predicts that there will be around 18 million people traveling back to their places of origin ahead of this year's Idul Fitri celebrations (the days that mark the end of the Ramadan fasting month). This prediction is 3.3 percent higher than the flow of people during last year's Idul Fitri (17.4 million). The annual exodus of Indonesian workers and professionals from the cities back to their hometowns - to spend some days with their parents - ahead of Idul Fitri (Lebaran) is called mudik in Indonesian.

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Sales of tires in Indonesia are expected to remain bleak in 2016. Azis Pane, Chairman of the Indonesian Tire Companies Association (APBI), said sales of tires this year may only reach 8.5 million units (roughly the same sales figure as in the preceding year), while exports of Indonesian-made tires may fall to 30 million units (from a "normal" figure of 45 million). Domestic tire sales are highly dependent on the nation's car and motorcycle sales. Indonesia's February motorcycle sales declined 5.6 percent (y/y) to 524,864 units in February 2016, after a 17.2 percent (y/y) plunge in the preceding month.

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Indonesian motorcycle exports have grown by a whopping 87 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 27,066 units in February 2016 from 14,433 units in the same month one year earlier. Sigit Kumala, Chairman of the commercial department of the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI), said this solid performance occurred on the back of the market expansion strategy applied by Indonesian motorcycle manufacturers. He added that Indonesia's export performance (in terms of motorcycle sales) has been improving since the second half of 2016.

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Indonesian motorcycle sales declined 8 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 535,682 units in November 2015 from 582,331 units in the same month last year. In the first 11 months of 2015, Indonesian motorcycle sales stand at a total of 5.6 million units, down 18.5 percent (y/y) from sales in the same period last year, reflecting weakened purchasing power in Southeast Asia's largest economy amid the economic slowdown, weak commodity prices, and high inflation during the first three quarters of the year. The Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI) expects to see 6.3 million sold motorcycle units in full-year 2015.

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Amid Indonesia’s economic slowdown, the country’s motorcycle sales are most likely to decline in 2015. In the first eight months of 2015 a total of 4,218,089 motorcycles were sold in Southeast Asia’s largest economy, down 21.1 percent (year-on-year) from the same period last year. However, there is one positive fact regarding Indonesia’s motorcycle sales. In August 2015, a total of 622,089 motorcycle units were sold, the highest monthly sales figure since October 2014 and the first monthly growth after seven straight months of decline.

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Based on a statement made by Indonesian Coordinating Minister for Maritime and Investment Affairs Luhut Panjaitan in late-January 2023, Indonesian President Joko Widodo agreed to a scheme where Indonesians can enjoy an IDR 7 million (approx. USD $475) subsidy when buying a new electric motorcycle. Reportedly, this scheme is to be imposed in February 2023.

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Many – including Indonesia Investments – are convinced that the electric vehicle is the automotive industry’s future. And, when we take a look at the past two decades or so, we detect a significant acceleration in the development of the electric vehicle.

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The Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI) says Indonesia's motorcycle exports should rise by 50 percent (y/y) to around 342,000 units in 2016. Gunadi Sindhuwinata, General Chairman of the AISI, stated that Indonesia's motorcycle exports have been impressive so far this year, rising 76 percent (y/y) to 97,778 units in the January-April 2016 period. This impressive export performance is supported by the choice of several global motorcycle manufacturers to make Indonesia their production hub for specific motorcycles.

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To assess Indonesia's purchasing power and consumer confidence it is always useful to take a look at car and motorcycle sales because when people are confident about their financial situation and have enough money to spend then they tend to buy cars and motorcycles (motorcycles are particularly popular among Indonesia's huge middle to lower-middle class segment). Meanwhile, cement sales inform about property and infrastructure development. Property development is also closely related to purchasing power and consumer confidence because property development grows when people's demand for property rises.

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Car sales in Indonesia continued to decline. Based on the latest data from the Indonesian Automotive Industry Association (Gaikindo) Indonesian car sales (delivery to dealers) fell around 10 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 84,885 vehicles in the first month of the year from 94,194 units in January 2015. Retail sales, on the other hand, showed a 1 percentage point growth to 82,423 vehicles over the same period.

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Both car sales and motorcycle sales declined in 2015 in Indonesia. Primary reason for this decline was people's weaker purchasing power amid the slowing economy and persistently low commodity prices. Indonesia's GDP growth is estimated to have fallen to 4.7 percent year-on-year (y/y), the slowest growth pace since 2009. Meanwhile, amid the sluggish global economy (especially China's slowdown) and falling oil prices, Indonesia gains relatively little from its commodity exports.

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Indonesian automotive group Indomobil Sukses Internasional is facing challenges in 2015. The listed company, affiliated with the Salim Group (one of Indonesia’s largest conglomerates), is plagued by intense competition in the car industry of Indonesia, while it also feels the negative impact of the weak rupiah (which is depreciating against the US dollar). Over 2014, the company posted a net loss of IDR 128.2 billion (USD $9.9 million), down significantly from net profit of IDR 532.5 billion it recorded in the preceding year.

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Domestic sales of motorcycles in Indonesia fell 11 percent to 580,288 units in January 2014. The main reason for this decline in the first month of the year were severe floods brought about by high rainfall amid a peak of the rainy season. These weather conditions disrupted the distribution of motorcycles from factories to dealers. As a result, all motorcycle brands recorded lower sales figures according to data released by the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (Aisi). However, more factors were at play.

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Domestic sales of motorcycles in Indonesia are expected to have fallen by 20 percent to 550,000 in December 2013 compared to the previous month (688,527). According to the Chairman of the commercial department of the Indonesian Motorcycle Industry Association (AISI), Sigit Kumala, this decline is not the result of slowing demand for motorcycles but due to the limited amount of working days amid the Christmas and New Year holidays. This then led to less production and distribution of motorcycles to Indonesian dealers.

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In mid-September 2013, South Korean tire producer Hankook Tire, conducted the inauguration of its tire plant in Indonesia. The factory is located in Cikarang (West Java) and is the company's seventh production center in the world: two plants in Korea, three in China and one in Hungary. Annual production capacity of the two factories in Korea reached 46.1 million tires in 2013. Meanwhile, the three factories in China have an annual capacity of 30.8 million units each. In Hungary, annual capacity stands at 12.6 million tire units.

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