Last month we stated that Indonesia’s central bank (Bank Indonesia) might just be at the start of a (prolonged) monetary tightening cycle. After all, higher interest rates is what we see happening across the world; a development that is led by the Federal Reserve (Fed) that has been aggressively raising its benchmark interest rate to fight inflation. This then causes capital outflows from most other parts of the world.

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Tourism is a vital part of the Indonesian economy. We can illustrate this by taking a look at Indonesia’s biggest foreign exchange earners (referring to those sectors that attract most foreign currency).

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In line with expectations, Indonesian inflation accelerated well beyond 1.0 percent month-on-month (m/m) in September 2022 after the government raised prices of subsidized fuels (Pertalite, Pertamax and diesel oil) on 3 September 2022.

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It has been a while since we last covered Indonesia’s new capital city in our monthly reports (the last time was in December 2021 to be exactly). And therefore, it might be a good idea to see what has happened over the past nine months or so in relation to the development of this giant construction project.

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