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  • Introduction to March 2026 Report: How the Iran War Impacts Indonesia

    Introduction to March 2026 Report: How the Iran War Impacts Indonesia

    The key story in March 2026 is obviously the Iran War that broke out after a United States (US)-Israeli coalition attacked various strategic assets in Iran starting on 28 February 2026, thus causing another (possibly long-term) geopolitical conflict after the Russo-Ukrainian War (2022-present) and Israel-Hamas War (2023-present).

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  • Economic Update: Indonesian Economy Grew by 5.04% in Q3-2025, in Line with Expectations

    Economic Update: Indonesian Economy Grew by 5.04% in Q3-2025, in Line with Expectations

    In line with expectations, the economic growth rate of Indonesia was recorded at the level of 5.04 percent year-on-year (y/y) in the third quarter of 2025. This is a good result as it slightly exceeded analyst expectations (in our case, we had projected a 5 percent y/y growth rate), and was also a faster growth pace than the one recorded by Indonesia in the same quarter one year earlier (4.95 percent y/y).

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  • Analyzing the Latest Macroeconomic Indicators of Indonesia: What Do the Data Tell Us?

    Analyzing the Latest Macroeconomic Indicators of Indonesia: What Do the Data Tell Us?

    In another article in this report we discuss the remarkable discrepancy between the strong (official) gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 5.12 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q2-2025 and Indonesia’s somewhat lackluster macroeconomic data in that same quarter. This discrepancy not only surprised many, but it also made many a bit suspicious about the accuracy of the Q2-2025 GDP data that were released by the Statistical Agency of Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS).

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  • Analysis of Domestic Tourism in Indonesia – Crucial Contributor to National Economic Growth

    Analysis of Domestic Tourism in Indonesia –  Crucial Contributor to National Economic Growth

    Those who follow our reports might be aware that we’ve been unable to obtain data regarding the foreign visitor arrivals into Indonesia since the start of 2025. The main problem seems to be that the publication of foreign tourism-related data has moved from Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, or BPS) to the Ministry of Tourism and Creative Economy. But, unfortunately, this ministry hasn’t released any data (related to foreign visitors in 2025) on its website (yet).

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  • Economic Update Indonesia: Indonesian Economy Expands by 4.87% in Q1-2025

    Economic Update Indonesia: Indonesian Economy Expands at a Rate of 4.87% (Y/Y) in Q1-2025

    The economic growth rate of Indonesia in the first quarter of 2025 (Q1-2025) came in slightly below our projection of 4.9 – 5.0 percent year-on-year (y/y). But, indeed, we had already detected a (general) weakening in internal and external conditions, which was reflected in the macroeconomic data of Indonesia that we discussed in our April 2025 report. And so, it was certainly not a shock.

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  • Economic Update Indonesia: Indonesian Economy Expands at a Rate of 5.02% (Y/Y) in Q4-2024

    Economic Update Indonesia: Indonesian Economy Expands at a Rate of 5.02% (Y/Y) in Q4-2024

    Indonesia’s economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2024 was slightly better than we had anticipated. Just prior to the release of Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) data on 5 February 2025 (by Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS), we revised our outlook for Indonesia’s Q4-2024 economic growth from 5.0 percent year-on-year (y/y) to the range of 4.9–5.0 percent (y/y) due to a number of weaker-than-estimated macroeconomic data.

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  • What Do the Latest Macroeconomic Data Inform About Indonesia’s Q4-2024 Economic Growth?

    What Do the Latest Macroeconomic Data Inform About Indonesia’s Q4-2024 Economic Growth?

    As usual, we devote one article to the latest available (key) macroeconomic data in an effort to assess the state of the Indonesian economy. In the previous article in this month’s report, we discussed the 4.95 percent year-on-year (y/y) GDP growth rate of Indonesia in Q3-2024. In the article you are reading right now, we’re going to take a closer look whether the country’s economic growth can accelerate (or decelerate) in the last quarter of the year.

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