When the United Kingdom (UK) decided to leave the European Union (the so-called Brexit) through a referendum that was held on 23 June 2016, global markets were in shock. While these markets and the UK economy have recovered from the shock (although the pound remains near a 30-year low and Britain lost its AAA rating implying that the cost of government borrowing becomes higher) there are still some concerns about the (negative) impact of Brexit on emerging market economies in Asia, including Indonesia.

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After a five-day winning streak in the post-Brexit era, the majority of Asian shares fell on Tuesday (05/07) as investors are engaging in profit-taking after the recent rally. Not even rising expectation of more stimulus measures from several key central banks around the globe managed to entice investors and boost appetite for stocks. Crude oil also fell on concerns over the global economy. Meanwhile, the safe haven assets gold and Japan's yen strengthened, while government bond yields fall to unprecedented levels. Indonesian markets are still closed for the Idul Fitri holiday (4 - 8 July 2016).

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As voting results are being collected chances are growing that the United Kingdom will leave the European Union (the so-called "Brexit"). After results from 314 of a total of 382 UK voting districts have been collected, the leave camp leads by 3.8 percent. As a result the pound sterling is on track for its largest-ever one-day fall. Meanwhile, stock markets in Asia show deep losses, led by Japan's Nikkei 225 index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (both tumbling more than three percent).

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Today (23/06), some 46.5 million UK voters are expected to show up for a massive decision. Since UK Prime Minister David Cameron announced that he will respect the outcome of the referendum, the decision whether the United Kingdom will leave the European Union is in the hands of the UK voters. The latest polls still indicate that the outcome of the referendum is too close to call. The first reliable preliminary reports about the outcome of the referendum are expected to be published on Friday morning around 05:00 am local UK time, or 11:00 am local Jakarta time. 

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Anyone that has been reading the news headlines in the financial markets over the last few weeks has undoubtedly turned some of their attention to the possibility that Great Britain might elect to leave the European Union. The financial news media has colorfully termed this event as the ‘Brexit’ and markets analysts have been debating the likelihood of its impact ever since. 

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A survey released by The British Chamber of Commerce Indonesia (BritCham) showed that United Kingdom (UK) investors’ confidence on doing business in Indonesia in 2013 and 2014 dropped but is still positive overall. One hundred corporate and other members of BritCham, 95% of whom hold Senior Management posts, participated in this survey. The survey showed that 60% of the total respondents remained confident about their business in Indonesia, down from 83% in 2012, while the Ease of Doing Business score fell by 15% from 65% to 50%.

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Most of us expected the Jakarta composite index (IHSG) to weaken on Tuesday 16 April 2013 amid mixed Asian stock indices and significantly weakened American and European indices on Monday (that responded to reports about both China's slowing economic growth and weak economic figures of America). Moreover, bomb explosions at the finish line of the marathon of Boston were expected to complicate the performance of the IHSG. But concerns turned out in vain.

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