Indonesia Investments Report - January 2021 Edition: COVID-19 Crisis to Linger On?
Update COVID-19 in Indonesia: 1,298,608 confirmed infections, 35,014 deaths (23 February 2021)
23 February 2021 (closed)
USD/IDR (14,146) -6.00 -0.04%
EUR/IDR (17,335) +57.05 +0.33%
Jakarta Composite Index (6,272.81) +17.50 +0.28%
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On Friday (06/03) Indonesia Investments released the February 2020 edition of its monthly update. In this second edition of 2020 we zoom in on the impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on the Indonesian economy.
On Friday (07/02) Indonesia Investments released the January 2020 edition of its monthly report. In this first edition of 2020 we zoom in on the digital economy of Indonesia.
On Tuesday (07/01) Indonesia Investments released the December 2019 edition of its monthly report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of December 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that made an impact on the Indonesian economy.
On Friday (08/11) Indonesia Investments released the October 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of October 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Monday (07/10) Indonesia Investments released the September 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of September 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Thursday (05/09) Indonesia Investments released the August 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of August 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Thursday (08/08) Indonesia Investments released the July 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of July 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Friday (5/07) Indonesia Investments released the June 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of June 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Monday (06/05) Indonesia Investments released the April 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of April 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
On Monday (08/04) Indonesia Investments released the March 2019 edition of its monthly research report. The report aims to inform the reader of the key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of March 2019 and also touches upon key international developments that impacted on the Indonesian economy.
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The global environment has not improved in August 2019. In fact, it has deteriorated as reflected by declining stock indices in most parts of the world as well as a record-setting trend for the price of gold (known for being one of the world’s crucial safe haven assets).
When speaking with Indonesians about the performance of the Indonesian government under the leadership of President Joko Widodo, high government debt is usually mentioned as a key source of concern (especially in case the conversation partner is not supportive of the Widodo administration).
While reforms related to Indonesia’s corporate income tax rates remain in the planning stage, there is a new important regulation that will come into effect per 1 April 2019. Through Finance Ministry Regulation No. 210/PMK.010/2018 on the Taxation of Trade Transactions through Electronic System or E-commerce, which was signed on 31 December 2018, Indonesia will require e-commerce merchants (sellers) to share data with tax authorities and pay VAT and income taxes.
Based on data from the Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), total direct investment realization in full-year 2018 reached IDR 721.3 trillion, up 4.1 percent compared to the preceding year. However, it means that the government’s investment target of IDR 765 trillion was not achieved.
Although conditions remain challenging, there is some room for optimism as manufacturing activity in Indonesia reportedly climbed in the last month of 2018. In December 2018 the Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to a reading of 51.2, up from 50.4 in the previous month (a reading over 50 indicates expansion in the nation’s manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 points at contraction).
In 2018 a total of 57 companies made their trading debuts on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). To see 57 Indonesian companies conducting their initial public offering (IPO) on the IDX within 12 months only is a remarkable achievement and a significant increase from 37 IPOs in 2017, and 14 in 2016. It is in fact the biggest number of IPOs for Indonesia since the year 1992. Moreover, big appetite for Indonesian companies to go-public in 2018 is particularly remarkable considering there was plenty of uncertainty lurking about in global and domestic markets.
Indonesia has four unicorns – a term that refers to startup companies that are valued over USD $1 billion – namely: (1) ride-hailing and logistics company Go-Jek, (2) e-commerce operator Tokopedia, (3) e-commerce operator Bukalapak, and (4) airline ticketing and hotel booking services Traveloka.
When 189 people – consisting of passengers and flight crew - boarded Lion Air flight 610 in the early morning of Monday 29 October 2018, no-one expected that it would be their last flight. After all, the Lion Air plane - a Boeing 737 MAX 8 powered by two CFM International LEAP engines - was a brand new airplane that had been delivered to Lion Air on 13 August 2018 and had only been operated by the Indonesian low-cost airline since 15 August 2018. In the two and-a-half months it had been in service the aircraft had flown about 800 hours.
Indonesia’s current account balance – which measures the flow of goods, services and investment - remains a source of concern. In the second quarter of 2018 Indonesia’s current account deficit widened to USD $8.02 billion or 3.0 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). It is the biggest quarterly deficit since Q2-2014 and implies that Indonesia is dependent on foreign capital to fund its deficits. This makes investors nervous and therefore foreign funds rapidly exit Indonesia in times of global turmoil.
On Wednesday 26 September 2018 the local Jakarta administration decided to revoke private developers’ principle permits for the development of 13 artificial islands (reclaimed islands) in the bay north of Indonesia's capital city of Jakarta. The decision was hardly a surprise. After Anies Baswedan was elected Governor of Jakarta in 2017 it was assumed that the end of the grand project was near.
