Calendar year inflation of Indonesia now stands at 0.42 percent after the first two months of 2016. Meanwhile, core inflation - which excludes volatile food prices and administered prices - was up 0.31 percent (m/m) in February but unchanged from the 3.59 percent (on an annual basis) in the preceding month.

Despite deflation in February, Indonesia's annual inflation rate rose as deflationary pressures were much higher in the first two months of 2015 when Indonesia's subsidized fuel price reforms led to a sharp decline in fuel prices in Indonesia (in line with the severe plunge of global crude oil prices).

Inflation in Indonesia:

Month  Monthly Growth
          2013
 Monthly Growth
          2014
 Monthly Growth
          2015
 Monthly Growth
          2016
January          1.03%          1.07%         -0.24%          0.51%
February          0.75%          0.26%         -0.36%         -0.09%
March          0.63%          0.08%          0.17%
April         -0.10%         -0.02%          0.36%
May         -0.03%          0.16%          0.50%
June          1.03%          0.43%          0.54%
July          3.29%          0.93%          0.93%
August          1.12%          0.47%          0.39%
September         -0.35%          0.27%         -0.05%
October          0.09%          0.47%         -0.08%
November          0.12%          1.50%          0.21%
December          0.55%          2.46%          0.96%
Total          8.38%          8.36%          3.35%

Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)

Inflation in Indonesia and Central Bank Target 2008-2015:

   2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015
Inflation
(annual percent change)
  9.8   4.8   5.1   5.4   4.3   8.4   8.4   3.4
Bank Indonesia Target
(annual percent change)
  5.0   4.5   5.0   5.0   4.5   4.5   4.5   4.0

Sources: Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia

Discuss