Tag: Inflation
Below is a list with tagged columns and company profiles.
Today's Headlines Inflation
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Indonesian Inflation Still Easing in July 2023
Again, Indonesia experienced another month characterized by low inflation. Based on the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.21 percent month-on-month (m/m) in July 2023, significantly lower than the 0.64 percent (m/m) that was recorded in the same month one year earlier.
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Indonesia Investments Released July 2023 Report - Economy, Politics & Social Developments
On 7 August 2023 Indonesia Investments released the July 2023 edition of its monthly report, zooming in on various economic, political and social matters that were relevant in the month of July 2023.
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Indonesia Investments Released June 2023 Report - Focus on Mining Sector
On 6 July 2023 Indonesia Investments released the June 2023 edition of its monthly report. In the report we present a number of analyses of topics (all related to the economy, politics and social matters) that were relevant in Indonesia in the month of June 2023.
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: June 2023 Brings Yet Another Month of Low Inflation
Again, Indonesia experienced another month characterized by low inflation. Based on the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.14 percent month-on-month (m/m) in June 2023, significantly lower than the 0.61 percent (m/m) that was recorded in the same month one year earlier.
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: April 2023 Is Another Month of Remarkably Low Inflation
Typically, the Ramadan month and Idul Fitri week is a period of elevated inflation as people consume and travel more than usual amid the festivities. This year, however, inflationary pressures were remarkably low. According to the latest data of Statistics Indonesia (BPS), inflation reached 0.33 percent month-on-month in April 2023.
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Indonesia Investments Released April 2023 Report - Economy, Politics & Social Developments
On 4 May 2023 Indonesia Investments released the April 2023 edition of its monthly report. The report discusses a range of subjects related to the economy, politics and social matters that we found were relevant in April 2023.
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Witnessing a Sharp Decline in Inflation in March 2023
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March 2023 Report Released - ‘New Global Banking Crisis: Does It Affect Indonesia?’
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Modestly Rising Inflationary Pressures in February 2023
While we saw an easing inflation pace for Indonesia in January 2023 (compared to the same month last year), the opposite occurred in February 2023. The country’s Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) reported that inflation reached 0.16 percent month-on-month (m/m) in February 2023, which is higher than the -0.02 percent (m/m) of deflation we saw in the same month one year earlier.
Latest Columns Inflation
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Central Bank & Indonesia's Statistics Agency Expect Deflation in April 2016
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) expects to see deflation in April 2016 on the back of controlled food prices as the harvest season has arrived. Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo said a central bank survey shows deflation of 0.33 percent month-to-month (m/m) during the first three weeks of April. Besides lower food prices, Martowardojo also attributes April deflation to the government's decision to cut fuel prices (premium gasoline and diesel) by IDR 500 (approx. USD $0.04) per liter per 1 April. This move led to a 4 percent drop in public transportation tariffs.
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Bank Indonesia Adopts New Reference Rate: 7-day Reverse Repurchase Rate
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) announced on Friday (15/04) it will adopt a new monetary tool per 19 August 2016 that is to replace the existing BI rate which is considered too inefficient to influence market liquidity as it is not directly tied to Indonesia's money markets. The seven-day reverse repurchase rate (reverse repo), which stood at 5.50 percent in the central bank's last auction, is to become the nation's new benchmark. Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo, who communicated through a teleconference from Washington DC, emphasized that the central bank will not change its monetary stance.
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Car, Motorcycle & Cement Sales: Assessing Indonesia's Purchasing Power
To assess Indonesia's purchasing power and consumer confidence it is always useful to take a look at car and motorcycle sales because when people are confident about their financial situation and have enough money to spend then they tend to buy cars and motorcycles (motorcycles are particularly popular among Indonesia's huge middle to lower-middle class segment). Meanwhile, cement sales inform about property and infrastructure development. Property development is also closely related to purchasing power and consumer confidence because property development grows when people's demand for property rises.
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Bank Indonesia Expects Deflation in February 2016
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) expects to see deflation at 0.15 percent month-to-month (m/m) in February 2016. Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo said lower (government) administered prices in combination with low core inflation will be the recipe for deflation in the second month of the year. The lower administered prices that are primarily the cause of deflation consist of fuel prices, air fares and 12-kilogram liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) canisters. In the first month of the year Indonesian inflation accelerated to 4.14 percent (y/y).
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Snapshot of the Indonesian Economy: Risks, Challenges & Development
Tomorrow (05/02), Statistics Indonesia is scheduled to release Indonesia's official full-year 2015 economic growth figure. Nearly all analysts expect to see a figure that reflects the continuation of slowing economic growth. Southeast Asia's largest economy expanded 5.0 percent in 2014 and this is expected to have eased further to 4.7 percent or 4.8 percent in 2015 on the back of (interrelated) sluggish global growth, low commodity prices, and weak export performance. Domestically, Indonesia has or had to cope with high interest rates and inflation (hence curtailing people's purchasing power and consumption as well as business expansion).
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S&P: Indonesia's Banking Industry Stable but Profitability May Weaken
New York-based financial services firm Standard & Poor's stated that Indonesia's banking industry will feel the negative impact of Indonesia's sluggish economic growth in combination with persistently low commodity prices next year. This combination may weaken profitability of the nation's banking industry. S&P puts Indonesia's economic growth in 2016 at 5 percent (y/y), below the International Monetary Fund's and World Bank's forecast as well as the central government's target, all at 5.3 percent (y/y).
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World Bank Releases Indonesia Economic Quarterly "Reforming amid Uncertainty"
Today, the World Bank released the latest edition of its flagship publication Indonesia Economic Quarterly, entitled "Reforming amid Uncertainty". In this edition the Washington-based institution states that global conditions remain unfavorable despite financial markets having stabilized since October. Meanwhile, the country was negatively affected by severe man-made forest fires and toxic haze which cost Indonesia an estimated IDR 221 trillion (USD $16 billion or 1.9 percent of the country's gross domestic product) in five months.
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Economic Update Indonesia: November Inflation Expected at 0.2%
After having experienced two consecutive months of deflation in September and October, Indonesia is expected to see inflation again in November, primarily on higher food prices (chicken meat and rice). Agus Martowardojo, Governor of Bank Indonesia, expects an inflation rate of 0.2 percent (month-on-month) in November. This would mean that inflation in full-year 2015 is likely to reach 3 percent (y/y), in line with earlier estimates and within - or perhaps slightly below - Bank Indonesia's target range of 3 - 5 percent (y/y) of inflation in 2015.
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Bank Indonesia Remains Committed to Tight Monetary Stance
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate (BI rate) relatively high in order to safeguard Indonesia's financial stability in 2016 (instead of seeking accelerated economic growth through a rate cut). Despite easing pressures on inflation and the country's current account balance, Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo said that persistent global uncertainty (referring to the looming US Fed Fund Rate hike and China's slowdown) justifies the tight monetary stance.
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Does Bank Indonesia Have Room to Cut its Key Interest Rate?
As Indonesia's inflation rate has eased to 6.25 percent (y/y) in October 2015 from 6.83 percent (y/y) in the previous month, and given that Indonesian inflation will ease more markedly in the last two months of 2015 as the impact of the subsidized fuel price hike in November 2014 will vanish, the central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) seems to have more scope to cut its current relatively high benchmark interest rate, hence giving rise to accelerated economic activity.
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Today's Headlines
- Renewable Energy in Indonesia: Overview, Challenges and Potential of Geothermal Energy
- Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Finally Some Inflationary Pressures in February 2024
- Economic Update Indonesia; Taking a Look at Various Recently Released Macroeconomic Data
- Indonesia Investments Releases Its February 2024 Report
- Trade Balance of Indonesia: Despite Declining Non-Oil and Gas Exports, the Trade Surplus Persists