19 September 2025 (closed)
Jakarta Composite Index (8,051.12) +42.69 +0.53%
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Analyzing the Latest Macroeconomic Indicators of Indonesia: What Do the Data Tell Us?
In another article in this report we discuss the remarkable discrepancy between the strong (official) gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 5.12 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q2-2025 and Indonesia’s somewhat lackluster macroeconomic data in that same quarter. This discrepancy not only surprised many, but it also made many a bit suspicious about the accuracy of the Q2-2025 GDP data that were released by the Statistical Agency of Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS).
This in fact makes it even more interesting to take a look at the most recent economic data. If the economy is faring better than we have been assuming then we should see an improvement in the macroeconomic data.
Consumer Confidence in Indonesia
Consumer confidence is always an interesting statistic when assessing the economic conditions of a country. When consumers are confident and optimistic then they will spend more money on various products and services, thereby triggering an increase in economic activity. The increase in demand needs to be met with increased supply, implying jobs are created (meaning workers collect wages that can be used to spend on goods and services, hence the cycle repeats itself).
Over the past six months we have been ‘a bit’ concerned over Indonesia’s consumer confidence as we detected a declining trend. Yes, overall, consumer confidence does remain in positive territory (above 100 points), but it is at a level that is subdued by Indonesian standards.
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