Franky Oesman Widjaja, Chairman of Sinar Mas Agribusiness & Foods, expects Indonesia's crude palm oil production in 2016 to drop by 5-10 percent (y/y) due to the impact of the El Nino weather phenomenon that brought extreme dry weather to Southeast Asia in 2015. However, in several Indonesian regions palm oil plantations are now being plagued by floods giving rise to speculation whether El Nino is to be followed by La Nina. La Nina - the opposite of El Nino - brings cooler than average sea temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean causing wetter-than-usual weather in Southeast Asia.

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Hasil produksi minyak sawit mentah (crude palm oil/CPO) di Indonesia, produsen dan eksportir CPO terbesar di dunia, mungkin turun sebanyak 20% menjadi 27,5 juta ton di 2016 karena dampak negatif dari fenomena cuaca El Nino. Sebagai catatan positif, penurunan hasil produksi CPO di Indonesia dapat mendukung harga CPO yang telah jatuh ke level terendah selama 6,5 tahun terakhir pada 1.836 ringgit minggu lalu.

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