Trade Balance of Indonesia Improved in 2014

The country’s non-oil & gas trade surplus in December 2014 was USD $1.22 billion, higher than the USD $0.94 billion surplus in the previous month, due to the 6.6 percent (m/m) increase in non-oil & gas exports to USD $12.27 billion. The increase in non-oil & gas exports was mainly caused by growth of export of manufactured products such as jewellery/gems, machinery/electrical equipment, vehicles and parts, and machinery/mechanical appliances. Meanwhile, natural resource-based exports that increased were rubber and rubber-derived products. However, the non-oil & gas trade surplus in December 2014 was curtailed by an increase in non-oil & gas imports, particularly growth of imports of iron and steel, cereals, cotton, as well as iron and steel goods.

Meanwhile, Indonesia’s oil & gas balance in December 2014 also improved. Oil & gas exports grew 11.7 percent (m/m) to USD $2.35 billion, mainly supported by an increase in crude oil, oil products, and gas exports. On the other hand, oil & gas imports declined by 2.4 percent (m/m) or be of 3.39 billion US dollars, which is caused by a drop in imports of gas and oil products.

Indonesia’s central bank (Bank Indonesia) said in a statement that it believes that the improved trade performance of Indonesia will have a positive impact on the country’s current account balance in 2014. Bank Indonesia predicts that the overall performance of the trade balance will continue to improve in the foreseeable future supported by an increase in export activity in line with the global economic recovery and the downward trend in global oil prices.

Indonesia Balance of Trade (in USD million):

Indonesia’s January 2015 Inflation

Indonesia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) in January 2015 recorded deflation of 0.24 percent (m/m), primarily due to the government’s decision to reduce administered fuel prices (diesel and low octane gasoline) as well as easing inflationary pressures stemming from volatile food prices. On a year-on-year basis, Indonesian inflation eased to 6.96 percent (y/y), from 8.36 percent (y/y) in the preceding month.

 
Inflation in Indonesia:

Month	Monthly Growth           2013	Monthly Growth           2014	Monthly Growth           2015
January	1.03%	1.07%	-0.24%
February	0.75%	0.26%
March	0.63%	0.08%
April	-0.10%	-0.02%
May	-0.03%	0.16%
June	1.03%	0.43%
July	3.29%	0.93%
August	1.12%	0.47%
September	-0.35%	0.27%
October	0.09%	0.47%
November	0.12%	1.50%
December	0.55%	2.46%
Total	8.38%	8.36%	-0.24%

^{Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)}

Inflation of Indonesia 2008-2014:

	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014
Inflation (annual percent change)	9.8	4.8	5.1	5.4	4.3	8.4	8.4

^{Sources: World Bank}

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