10 October 2025 (closed)
Jakarta Composite Index (8,257.86) +6.92 +0.08%
Waspadalah terhadap penipu yang aktif di WA mengatasnamakan Indonesia Investments
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Berita Hari Ini Inflation
On Sunday (5 October 2025), Indonesia Investments released the September 2025 edition of its monthly report. In this edition we discuss a selection of economic, political and social topics that were relevant for Indonesia in September 2025.
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) surprised markets by cutting its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75 percent at the September 2025 monetary policy meeting. It was the sixth rate cut in a monetary easing cycle that started in September 2024.
On 3 September 2025 Indonesia Investments released the August 2025 edition of its monthly report. The report discusses key political, economic and social developments that occurred in Indonesia in the month of August 2025.
In July 2025 we saw some more marked inflationary pressures in Indonesia. Based on the latest data released by Statistics Indonesia (or BPS), Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.30 percent month-on-month (m/m) in July 2025. Key factors were (as usual) food prices and (a bit unusual) education that pushed inflation higher.
On Thursday 03 July 2025 Indonesia Investments released its June 2025 report, titled 'Indonesia’s Energy-Poverty Nexus – Energy Disruptions Perpetuate Poverty'. The report discusses a selection of economic, political and social subjects that were relevant in the month of June 2025.
In May 2025 Indonesia experienced steeper deflation that we had expected. Based on the latest data from Indonesia’s Statistical Office (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS), the deflation rate was recorded at -0.37 percent month-on-month (m/m).
On Thursday 05 June 2025, Indonesia Investments released the May 2025 edition of its monthly report. This report discusses a selection of economic, social and political topics that were relevant in Indonesia in the month of May 2025.
In April 2025 Indonesia experienced another month of steep inflation as the effects of the central government’s generous 50 percent electricity rate discount program in January-February 2025 was absorbed in the statistics.
On Sunday (04 May 2025) Indonesia Investments released the April 2025 edition of its monthly report. The report zooms in on a selection of developments that were relevant in the month of April 2025.
As expected, Indonesian consumer prices rebounded in March 2025 after Southeast Asia’s largest economy had experienced two straight months of significant deflation in January and February 2025 (see table 1).
Artikel Terbaru Inflation
A team of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led by David Cowen (advisor at the IMF’s Asia and Pacific Department), visited several Indonesian cities in the first three weeks of December 2014 to conduct research on the economic fundamentals of Southeast Asia’s largest economy. This research included the study of recent macroeconomic developments as well as the formulation of prognosis scenarios for the short and middle term. The IMF team held discussions with the government, Bank Indonesia, private entrepreneurs and scholars.
International credit rating agency Fitch Ratings maintained Indonesia’s sovereign rating at BBB-/stable outlook (investment grade). Baradita Katoppo, President Director of Indonesia’s Fitch Ratings branch, said that the firm is positive about the country’s financial fundamentals and prudent fiscal policy as the central bank has showed to prefer stability over growth, resulting in slowing credit growth and rising foreign exchange reserves in Southeast Asia’s largest economy. Economic growth is expected to fall to 5.1 percent (y/y) in 2014.
The central bank of Indonesia expects that Indonesia’s current account deficit will decline to below the three percent of gross domestic product (GDP) mark by the end of this year supported by sharply falling global oil prices and Indonesia’s recent subsidized fuel price hike. Hendar, Deputy Governor of the central bank, said that for every USD $1 decline in global oil prices, the country’s current account deficit narrows by about USD $170 million. Indonesia’s current account deficit fell to 3.1 percent of GDP in Q3-2014 (from 4.06 percent of GDP in Q2-2014).
The Governor of Indonesia’s central bank, Agus Martowardojo, said that he expects inflation to accelerate to 6.1 percent year-on-year (y/y) in November 2014, significantly up from 4.83 percent y/y in the previous month. Accelerated inflation is caused by the multiplier effect triggered by the recent subsidized fuel price hike in Southeast Asia’s largest economy. On 18 November 2014, the government introduced higher prices for subsidized fuels in a bid to reallocate public spending from fuel consumption to structural development.
Last week, Indonesian President Joko Widodo introduced higher subsidized fuel prices in Southeast Asia’s largest economy in a bid to shift generous public spending from fuel consumption to productive and structural economic and social development. Prices of subsidized low-octane gasoline (premium) and diesel (solar) were raised by over 30 percent, or IDR 2,000 (USD $0.17) per liter, starting from 00:00 on Tuesday (18/11). Widodo aims to reallocate these funds to infrastructure, social welfare and the maritime sector.
After Indonesian President Joko Widodo and Vice President Jusuf Kalla have confirmed that prices of subsidized fuels (gasoline and diesel) will be raised in November 2014 in an attempt to ease the country’s wide current account deficit and government budget deficit (which are primarily caused by costly oil imports), domestic car manufacturers and dealers are expected to post declining earnings in 2015. Besides the subsidized fuel price issue, Indonesia’s car industry is also negatively impacted by the country’s slowing economic growth.
Today (20/10), Central Jakarta seems to have changed into one big party as Joko Widodo was inaugurated as Indonesia’s seventh president earlier this morning. For the remainder of the day celebrations will be held at Monas (National Monument) and surrounding areas. However, it is of vital importance that Widodo (popularly known as Jokowi) will start to focus on this presidential duties tomorrow as the country is facing a number of economic challenges. What are these challenges?
Bank Indonesia decided to hold the key interest rate (BI rate) at 7.50 percent in October, with the Lending Facility and Deposit Facility rates kept at 7.50 percent and 5.75 percent, respectively. This level is expected to help control inflation at 4.5±1 percent in 2014 and 4.0±1 percent in 2015, as well as to reduce the current account deficit to a more sustainable level. Despite stable domestic conditions, Bank Indonesia sees risks: contagion risk stemming from US monetary tightening and possible higher subsidized fuel prices.
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) released a press statement on Wednesday evening (01/10) in which it set out its view on the country’s trade balance and inflation after the latest economic data had been released by Statistics Indonesia (abbreviated BPS) earlier on the day. Based on information of BPS, Indonesia’s September inflation was relatively low at 0.27 percent month-to-month (m/m), while the August trade balance swung back into a deficit at USD $318.1 million.
The central bank of Indonesia (Bank Indonesia) will not lower its key interest rate (BI rate) until accelerated inflation (brought on by the looming subsidized fuel price hike at the end of the year) has eased and US interest rates are stable (the US Federal Reserve may raise its key interest rate in the second or third quarter of 2015). This implies that the relatively high interest rate environment in Indonesia (the key BI rate has been at 7.50 percent for almost a year) will continue (to safeguard financial stability) at the expense of higher economic growth.
