Manufacturing activity in Indonesia continued to contract in the last month of 2016. The Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slid to a reading of 49.0 in December 2016, from 49.7 in the preceding month (a reading below 50.0 signals contraction, while a reading above 50.0 signals expansion). It was the third consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector of Southeast Asia's largest economy. The survey also showed that Indonesia's manufacturing exports showed their steepest fall since October 2015.

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Indonesia's manufacturing sector continued to contract in November 2016 (the second straight month of contraction), albeit at a slower pace. Indonesia's Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) climbed to a reading of 49.7 points last month from 48.7 points in October 2016 (a reading above 50.0 signals expansion of the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50.0 indicates contraction). Contraction in November was largely blamed on subdued demand and floods in parts of Indonesia.

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Again concerns about Indonesia's manufacturing sector flared up after it was reported this morning that the Nikkei Indonesia manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to a reading of 48.7 in October 2016 (dropping significantly from 50.9 in September). It was the first time since July 2016 that Indonesia's manufacturing PMI contracted (a reading below 50.0 signals contraction). Employment, new orders as well as output all contracted in October, while pre-production stocks rose (slightly).

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Good news for Indonesia's manufacturing industry. According to the Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by IHS Markit, Indonesia's manufacturing expanded both in terms of new orders and production (albeit at softer rates) in September 2016. Growth of new export orders in fact touched a 46-month high. Indonesia's manufacturing PMI rose to a reading of 50.9 in September, up from 50.4 in the preceding month (a reading above 50.0 indicates expansion).

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Good news from Indonesia's manufacturing sector. Indonesia's Nikkei manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to a reading of 51.9 in June 2016, up from a reading of 50.6 points in the preceding month (a reading above 50.0 indicates expansion in manufacturing activity, while a reading below 50.0 signals contraction). The June reading of 51.9 was the highest reading since July 2014. Furthermore, the strongest expansion in Indonesia's payroll numbers in the survey's history occurred, while buying levels also rose markedly.

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After having experienced 17 straight months of contraction in the manufacturing sector, the Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey rose to a reading of 50.6 in March 2016 from 48.7 in the preceding month (a reading above 50 indicates expansion of manufacturing activity) according to a statement released on Friday (01/04). This is very positive news although Indonesia's export performance remains in a state of decline. Manufacturing expansion was primarily caused by a rise in domestic demand.

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For the 17th straight month Indonesia's manufacturing sector contracted. Based on the latest survey from Nikkei, the Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) showed a reading of 48.7 in February 2016, slightly down from a reading of 48.9 in the preceding month (a reading below 50 indicates that manufacturing activity has contracted). It confirms that both global and domestic growth remained subdued in the first months of 2016, hence new orders continued to decline, while unemployment rose.

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Although at a slower pace, Indonesia's manufacturing activity continued to contract in January 2016. According to the latest Nikkei survey, the Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 48.9 in the first month of 2016 from a reading of 47.8 in the preceding month (a reading below 50 signals contraction in the manufacturing sector). It was the 16th consecutive month of contraction in Indonesia's manufacturing sector as domestic and global economic growth remains subdued.

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The latest survey from Nikkei showed that Indonesia's manufacturing sector contracted for the 15th straight month. In the last month of 2015 factory activity in Indonesia showed a reading of 47.8, improving from a reading of 46.9 in November but remaining stubbornly below the 50.0 level that separates contraction from expansion. Since October 2014 Indonesia's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) has been in contraction.

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In line with estimates, Indonesia posted 0.08 percent (m/m) deflation in October 2015. Deflation was primarily caused by lower food prices in Southeast Asia's largest economy. Annual inflation eased to 6.25 percent (y/y) and is expected to ease more markedly in the last two months of the year as the impact of last year November's subsidized fuel price hike will be swept away from inflation figures. Indonesia's core inflation - which excludes volatile food and administered prices - was 5.02 percent (y/y) in October.

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Indonesia's manufacturing activity improved markedly in February 2018 with the Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to a reading of 51.4, from 49.9 in January (the 50.0 level separates contraction from expansion). It was the fastest pace of growth for Indonesia's manufacturing sector since June 2016; growth that came on the back of rising output and new orders.

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Manufacturing activity in Indonesia continued to contract in January 2018 (for the second month in a row) albeit at a slower pace. The Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose from 49.3 in December 2017 to a reading of 49.9 in January (a reading below 50.0 indicates contraction, while a reading above 50.0 indicates expansion in manufacturing activity).

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The manufacturing industry of Indonesia remains in a troublesome state. The latest Nikkei Indonesia manufacturing purchasing managers' Index (PMI) reading declined to 49.3 in December 2017, from 50.4 in the preceding month (a reading below 50.0 indicates contraction, while above 50.0 indicates growth in the country's manufacturing activity). It was the first time since July 2017 that Indonesia's manufacturing activity contracted.

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Indonesia's Nikkei manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) grew to a reading of 50.4 in November 2017, slightly improving from 50.1 in the preceding month when broad stagnation was detected. A reading above 50.0 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50.0 indicates contraction. Indonesia's November manufacturing growth was primarily caused by accelerating expansion in output and new orders.

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Statistics Indonesia (BPS) announced today (01/09) that Indonesian inflation has eased slightly to 7.18 percent (y/y) in August 2015, from 7.26 percent (y/y) in the preceding month. On a month-on-month basis, inflation climbed 0.39 percent in August, below analysts’ expectations. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s manufacturing sector continued to contract in August, albeit conditions improved from the preceding month.

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Last week, the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) weakened. The benchmark stock index of Indonesia was affected by negative market sentiments brought on by domestic factors. Most importantly, the large-scale demonstrations across Indonesia by Indonesian workers who demanded for higher minimum wages as annual inflation has surged since June 2013 after prices of subsidized fuels were raised. These demands, however, jeopardize the attractiveness of Indonesia's investment climate.

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HSBC's latest release of the Indonesia Manufacturing PMI did not paint a positive picture as Indonesia's manufacturing activity was reported to have contracted sharply in August 2013. The index declined to a 15-month low amid a contraction of output, new orders and export business. Payroll numbers fell at the fastest rate in the history of the HSBC survey. The August index stood at 48.5, down from 50.7 in July 2013, and marks the fourth consecutive month of decline. A reading below 50.0 indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity.

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